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  Posted in the topic Polish exit polls give ex-PM Donald Tusk potential route back to power in the forum News

  October 16, 2023 11:13 AM EDT

  Ruling Law and Justice party expected to come first but without enough votes to govern alone or with the far right

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  https://www.ft.com/content/a4447b80-da74-408b-8cdd-7bbec90613e6 Donald Tusk has secured a potential path to power in Poland, according to two election exit polls that give the former European Council president the upper hand over his rightwing rivals, the ruling Law and Justice party. Law and Justice (PiS), led by Jarosław Kaczyński, appeared to be on the brink of losing office despite winning the most votes in Sunday’s election, because according to the exit poll it would lack a majority even with a far right party as its coalition partner. If borne out in the vote count, it would mark a stunning victory for Tusk in what is Poland’s most pivotal election in a generation. The former prime minister claimed victory for the opposition, saying he has “never been happier” to have come second. PiS was estimated to have won 36.6 per cent of the vote, with 31 per cent for Tusk’s Civic Platform. Poland’s currency and stock market rallied strongly on Monday in reaction to a potential Tusk comeback. The Warsaw WIG index was up 3.5 per cent by late morning, while the zloty jumped 1.9 per cent against the euro before settling to trade 1 per cent stronger on the day at 4.49 zlotys a euro. Tusk pledged during the campaign to reposition Warsaw on a firm pro-European path, restore the independence of judges and unlock billions of euros of EU funding withheld by the European Commission in a spat with the PiS government over judicial reforms. The vote is seen as the most significant election for the EU this year, potentially redefining the relationship between Brussels and the largest member state in central and eastern Europe after years of feuding. “This is the end of bad times. This is the end of PiS rule,” Tusk said on Sunday night to cheering supporters. “We did it, for real. Poland won, democracy won.” Together with two other parties, Civic Platform is on track to secure 248 of the 460 seats in the Sejm, the lower house of Poland’s parliament, according to the latest Ipsos exit poll released on Monday morning, which confirmed the same share of seats for Tusk’s party as an initial exit poll on Sunday night. At PiS headquarters, Kaczyński told[url=https://ufa771.com/ style="font-weight: 400;">]แทงบอลสดได้เงินจริง ufabet supporters that a way still remained for his party to return to power. “Ahead of us are days of fight and various tensions,” said the ultra-conservative leader. “We must have hope and know that, regardless of whether we are in power or in opposition, we will implement this project in different ways.” Law and Justice party leader Jarosław Kaczyński greets his supporters in Warsaw on Sunday © Czarek Sokolowski/AP If the final results match the polls, PiS will struggle to secure a third term in government because its potential coalition partner — the far right Confederation — is only expected to win 6.4 per cent of the vote, equivalent to just 14 seats. PiS is expected to be granted the first opportunity to form a government by President Andrzej Duda if results confirm that it remains the largest party in parliament. The final results of the fiercely contested election are not expected before late Monday or even Tuesday, because counting has been complicated by a referendum with two questions on immigration that PiS added to the ballot to fire up its conservative supporters. Recommended Instant InsightInstant Insight Poland’s democratic health appears better than many feared The national electoral commission began publishing partial results on Monday morning, which showed PiS securing 40.2 per cent of votes compared with 26.6 per cent for Civic Platform, with just over 10 per cent of the votes counted. But even though this preliminary lead was larger than in the exit polls, it would still not be enough for PiS to secure a majority with support from Confederation. The election could also ease recent tensions between Warsaw and Kyiv, which were sparked in large part by PiS’s re-election bid. PiS sparred with Confederation, which claimed that the government had been too generous to Ukrainian refugees, and also sought to appease its farming electorate by imposing a unilateral ban on Ukrainian grain imports earlier this year. Turnout in the parliamentary election was on track to set a record since Poland’s return to democracy, according to preliminary data from Ipsos. It put participation at almost 73 per cent, 11 percentage points higher than in the previous election in 2019. Analysts warned that the fragmented and poisonous politics of Poland made the exit polls potentially less reliable than in previous elections. Exit polls after similar elections in Slovakia two weeks ago projected the liberal opposition leader would emerge ahead, but final results put populist Robert Fico and his Smer party in the lead. “We could still have a Slovakian situation here,” said Marcin Duma, head of pollster Ibris ahead of Sunday’s vote. Government officials have also warned that pollsters may not accurately register support for their party. “We believe that we have a silent majority,” said Janusz Kowalski, deputy agriculture minister, before Sunday’s vote. “I know lots of voters who don’t want to communicate openly that they vote for Law and Justice.” Still, only 40 per cent of voters took part in the referendum, according to preliminary data, not enough to make it binding. Tusk had called for a boycott of the referendum, which asked voters questions about reinforced border security, curbing illegal migration, keeping the existing retirement age and blocking sales of state-owned companies to foreign investors.

   
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  Posted in the topic Chris Evans Confirms His Marriage to Wife Alba Baptista After 2 ‘Wonderful’ Secret Weddings in the forum News

  October 16, 2023 6:16 AM EDT

  Chris Evans officially confirmed that he is married to Alba Baptista during his panel at New York City Comic Con on Saturday, October 14.

  "I got married," Evans told the audience at Javits Center while wearing a gold wedding band. "It was really, really great. We kinda had two ceremonies. We had one on the East Coast. We did one in Portugal. My wife's Portuguese. Yeah, go Portugal!"[url=https://ufa771.com/ style="font-weight: 400;">]เว็บแทงบอลสเต็ป

  The couple enjoyed both ceremonies — but the Boston native admitted that putting on two weddings wasn't easy. "They were wonderful and beautiful. It's a lot planning a wedding. For those you who are married, it takes a lot out of you," he shared. "Now that we're through that, we've just kinda been enjoying life, gearing up for autumn, my favorite season. It's, like, the best time of year right now. Now we're just relaxing and enjoying life and reflecting."

  While this was Evans' first time discussing marrying Baptista, Us Weekly confirmed in September that the Captain America star and the Warrior Nun actress wed in Massachusetts despite never publicly announcing their engagement.

  Evans and Baptista were first linked in 2021 after she followed him and some members of his family on Instagram. However, they were not spotted together until November 2022, when they were seen holding hands while strolling around New York City.

  Chris Evans and Alba Baptista’s Relationship Timeline

  Two months later, the pair made their relationship Instagram official when he posted a compilation video of the two scaring each other over the course of the previous year. “A look back at 2022,” he wrote via his Instagram Story, adding three heart emojis.

  

  Chris Evans speaks at a panel during New York Comic Con 2023 on October 14, 2023 in New York City. Craig Barritt/Getty Images for ReedPop

  “Chris and Alba have gotten serious,” a source told Us Weekly at the time. “This is the most committed anyone can remember him being in a very long time, if not ever.”

  As they deepened their connection, the duo enjoyed keeping their lowkey romance away from the public eye. “They spend most of their time at his place in Massachusetts and love the quiet life there, surrounded by nature and away from the spotlight,” the insider added. “Chris was very open that he wanted to take his time before settling down.”

  Chris Evans’ Complete Dating History: Jessica Biel, Jenny Slate and More

  While Evans and Baptista maintained a relatively private relationship, he could not resist paying tribute to her on Valentine’s Day in 2023, sharing several never-before-seen personal photos of the couple kissing and going on adventurous dates.

   

  

  Chris Evans and Alba Baptista Courtesy of Chris Evans/Instagram

  Prior to confirming his romance with Baptista, Evans revealed that he was “laser-focused on finding a partner” with whom he could share his life.

  Marvel Stars Who Dated Each Other: Zendaya, Tom Holland and More

  “I mean, look — I love what I do. It’s great; I pour all of myself into it. But in terms of — even this industry is full of pockets of doubt, hesitation and recalibration in terms of really trying to find someone that you really can pour all of yourself into,” he said in a July 2022 interview with Shondaland. “Maybe it’s about trying to find someone that you’re looking to spend your life with. Yes, so maybe it’s that.”

  Over the years, Evans has been open about his desire to start a family. “I really want kids,” he told Men’s Journal in 2019. “I like pretty pedestrian, domestic things. I want a wife, I want kids. I like ceremony. I want to carve pumpkins and decorate Christmas trees and s—t like that.”

  Before marrying Baptista, Evans was linked to a string of A-list actresses, including Jessica Biel, Minka Kelly and Lily Collins. He also dated Jenny Slate on and off from 2016 to 2018.

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  Posted in the topic A&O Top Leader Will Take Charge If Shearman Merger Vote Approved in the forum Technology

  October 13, 2023 12:30 PM EDT

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  • Shearman senior partner Adam Hakki is expected to have a senior role
  • Firms’ partners encouraged to socialize but not discuss compensation

  Allen & Overy’s current senior leadership will head the combined operation of A&O Shearman & Sterling, if the deal is approved.

  Senior partner Wim Dejonghe and managing partner Khalid Garousha will lead the newly combined firm in their current roles, according to several people with knowledge of the situation.

  Current Shearman senior partner Adam Hakki is expected to play a senior role in the new firm’s leadership, including sitting on its executive committee, according to two people with knowledge of the matter.

  Hakki has been instrumental in discussions with Dejonghe to forge the deal.

  “While the principles for shared governance of the combined firm have been agreed, the specifics will be further developed after the vote as part of the integration process,” a joint statement from both firms said.

  Other leadership roles will be formalized prior to the merger’s completion, people familiar with discussions said. The firms are aiming to complete the merger no later than May 2024.

  Partners at both firms began voting on whether to approve the merger on Sept. 28, with the vote scheduled to close Oct. 13.

  Dejonghe and Garousha may not have long in their roles to oversee the nascent combined firm.

  Both the senior and managing partner positions at A&O currently run until May. 1.

  Garousha, who took up the managing partner role on a caretaker basis following the sudden departure of predecessor Gareth Price, is unlikely to run again for the role, according to two partners at the firm.

  Dejonghe is in his second term as senior partner and served two terms as managing partner prior to that. Currently, A&O’s partnership deed prevents someone running for a third term in either role. Dejonghe has previously declined to say whether he will seek another leadership role at the newly combined outfit.

  The transformative deal would create a global firm with more than 3,900 lawyers and $3.4 billion in combined revenue.

  Dejonghe and Hakki have spent months visiting offices across the globe to drum up enthusiasm for the merger.[url=https://ufa771.bet/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%AA%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%95%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9B/ style="font-weight: 400;">]แทงบอลต่างประเทศ

  As well as formal hustings from management, both firms have organized get togethers for their rank and file partners ahead of the vote.

  Several meetings have been held since the summer for groups of partners across the US, UK and Europe. Partners have been encouraged to socialize but avoid discussing information such as compensation and other sensitive areas, according to people at A&O.

  To contact the reporter on this story: Rose Walker at rwalker1@bloombergindustry.com

  To contact the editor responsible for this story: arafferty@bloombergindustry.com Alessandra Rafferty

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  Posted in the topic US gov't analysis says EU AI Act could stifle R&D, competition: Report in the forum Technology

  October 11, 2023 10:04 AM EDT

  An analysis carried out by the US government has raised concerns about the EU’s AI Act, warning that the legislation put forward by the bloc could end up curbing  investment in the technology and favoring large AI companies at the expense of smaller rivals.

  The analysis, carried by the State Department, also warned that the EU regulations are likely to dampen “the expected boost to productivity” expected from AI-based technology and potentially lead to “a migration of jobs and investment to other markets,” according to a report from Bloomberg.

  Furthermore, as-yet unpublished documents related to the analysis describe some of the rules in the EU’s AI Act as “vague or undefined.” Similar criticisms, though, were levelled at the US government in July after President Joe Biden sought "voluntary commitments" from seven leading AI tech companies to help address safety, security, and trust issues associated with the technology.

  [ Bing’s AI chatbot came to work for me. I had to fire it. ]

  Meanwhile, investment in AI research, development and commercialization within the EU is likely to suffer, according to the State Departmen analysis, with the resource-intensive nature of training large language models (LLMs) limiting the competitiveness of European firms. The cost of compliance with the AI Act could mean that only the largest tech companies would have the resources to train machine learning systems, according to the analysis.

  

   

  The State Department declined to comment.

  "We do not comment on purportedly leaked information," according to a statement sent by a State Department spokesperson. "Through our strong and continuous partnership with the European Union, we seek digital solidarity on key bilateral issues."

  While the US government has yet to publish a legislative plan for AI that’s as comprehensive as its European counterpart, it appears that so far the US is taking a risk-focused approach to regulating how AI models are being used, looking mainly at possible negative outcomes. In comparison, while the EU has taken the risk of AI into account, its legislation is more heavily focused on how AI models are being developed.

  [ REGISTER NOW for our first AI-focused virtual event! AI Leadership Summit, October 11 ]

  The EU's AI legislation agenda

  The European Parliament approved a draft of the EU's AI Act in July, although each EU country needing to agree on the bill before it becomes law.[url=https://footprosports.com/ style="font-weight: 400;">]แทงบอลสดได้เงินจริง ufabet

  The legislation currently includes a requirement for generative AI systems to comply with transparency requirements by disclosing if content was AI-generated, and helping to distinguish deep-fake images from real ones.

  However, some of the more controversial rules that are expected to see some backlash include the total ban on biometric surveillance in public settings and so-called “social scoring” systems, which classify people based on their social behavior, socioeconomic status, and personal characteristics. Members of Parliament that make up the center-right European People’s Party faction of the body have argued that a total ban on biometric use could hamper crime-solving and counter-terrorism efforts.